Steve
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Thu May 20 2004 12:52 PM
Re: EPAC-ATL Correlation

Way to go out on a limb scottsvb. (How you been btw?)

>>Questions on calling this truly tropical if it even forms at all

If it forms into something named, then it forms into something named. While it would have come out of the tropics, rarely do you have a "truly tropical" system in May or June that doesn't originate from something else (whether that be a post-frontal trof, upper low working its way down to the surface, a wave colliding with energy, etc.)

So if it ends up being named, you won't be wrong because it was never "truly tropical".

I'm only disagreeing with you because I've got my guess for first named storm riding on the activity coming out of there. My posts (and they exist on the board) referenced a system that I thought would come up a bit further west (though still east of Florida) than where the 5/20 models have been trending. I don't usually chase models either, so this was one of those times where the heat buildup along wtih the models argued for potential. We'll see.

Steve



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