Well steve you could be right. We just dont know exactly whats going to happen until something does form if and where.
I do feel if anything does form it will be pushed NNW towards the SE Gulf. A trough next mid week will replace the strong ridge over the last 2-3 weeks over the eastern US, that should move anything in the gulf NE-ENE across florida if there is anything there. The timing of a possible tropical system in the gulf of where its at might feel the trough or might be already to far w and move of course w towards Texas or NE Mexico. In any case right now we wont jump on anything until maybe tomorrow at the earliest or when the system does develop. On a side note, there are 4 areas of low pressure. 2 in the E Pac, 2 in the carribean. The area in the s-central carribean is a mid level low which some models are showing development with. The area I feel if anything does develop is near Nicaragua. That is a weak but developing area of low pressure near 1010 mb.
Keep up the good posts steve.