garyb
(Weather Guru)
Fri May 21 2004 08:05 AM
Latest UK Run GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 21.05.2004

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS

FORECAST POSITION AT T+36 : 16.4N 75.8W



VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY

-------------- -------- -------- --------

12UTC 22.05.2004 16.4N 75.8W WEAK

00UTC 23.05.2004 16.2N 75.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 23.05.2004 18.1N 69.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 24.05.2004 19.2N 69.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 24.05.2004 20.6N 70.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 25.05.2004 22.2N 74.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 25.05.2004 22.8N 75.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 26.05.2004 24.1N 70.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 26.05.2004 24.6N 68.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 27.05.2004 25.7N 67.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE





THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT





MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK





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