Steve
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Tue May 25 2004 05:41 AM
Re: what are they waiting for

System looks its best tonight. It was probably worthy of more mention than it got if not any specific classification. The ideas were there from last Monday, but as noted last night, timing was the primary factor with this system. I have to give all of the global models credit for sniffing out the potential from several days out. They weren't exact, but they all demonstrated ability in a transitional season, something you won't always find with them.

For HF - Joe B didn't really say anything about it today other than mentioning it with the Gil Clark "bursting theory" and that it would probably head off to the NE. He's been pimping the warm water off the Carolina coast as a GOM signal and later year potential NE threat (to be continued). He's also mentioned for a few days that the Gulf of Mexico after next week would be the place to watch following a trof split after Memorial Day. FWIW, he's only noted the pattern, not any potential effects.

TPS



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