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i guess i'll use the scale that ive seen on here so many times DEVELOPMENT CHANCE: 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 [--*----------------] i am having a hard time seeing where the shear has weakened any to make a difference. also, the center is becomming less organized, the tstorms rapidly racing away from the weak center, and the overall structure is that of a non tropical low. this one can probably be written off. i think the first storm of the year will be between jun 15 and july 10. evidence of weakening, the center is now entirely exposed and beginning to elongate http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir2-loop.html i am also lowering my storm forecast to 12 since one of the storms was forecast in may |