FWIW,

I was watching Joe B's tropical update today and he pointed to some of the GFS Ensemble forecasts that are beginning to pick up the coming trof split and his next worry area (the Gulf of Mexico) for June 10th and beyond. His belief is that a ridge will be set up over West Texas and a ridge will be set up over Florida. It's WAAAAAAAAAAAAAY to early to say anything on that stuff except to look for possibilities, but one would expect if it sets up that way, the Northern and Western Gulf Coasts would be vulnerable to whatever might get cookin'. Just a 2+ weeks out headsup and something to follow until we get to the next point.

Steve