It's worth my $0.48/day to watch the streaming videos (Long Ranger and Tropical Update) for a few months. Joe does go ape-stuff too often, but he sniffs out stuff 2-3 weeks ahead of almost any other source. An addendum to what Phil posted, Joe did a lot of pimping of 1998 this year. Many may remember the Gulf hits that year. We got banding from Frances, wind from Georges, nothing from Hermine which passed directly overhead (convection was east of Mobile Bay), Earl, and Charlie (and of course Mitch down in Central America). His thinking is that the water temperature profiles are most similar with that year "a big Gulf year."

Steve