Nothing much going on right now. We're under an upper impulse with a nice "S" structure to it. Joe B put out a headsup for a potential rogue storm forming off of SC by Saturday night. Could be. He's not convinced, but raised the possibility. He thinks the system will die off a little today but then burst back toward the end of the week. You can see it pretty good in LI Phil's sat photo above.

Water continues to warm in the Gulf and off the SE Coast relative to averages. SOI's been positive for all but one of the last 30 days (when it was -0.20). That should cut off any near-term warm impulses migrating eastward across the southern Pacific. NRL is showing two invests (93E for the EPAC and 91W in the WPAC west of the Philipines).

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Steve