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Hard to tell..may mean nothing at all in the end. We've had a number of active Cape Verde seasons even when the early part of the season was not environmentally friendly, so my guess is that this will enhance it slightly, perhaps we'll see an early July Cape Verde storm, like Bertha in '96. In fact, I never put my prediction out for first named storm so I'll throw July 4th out there--forming east of the Lesser Antilles...good as any. I think the fact that the QBO (sorry I know what it stands for but can't spell it for the life of me) has gone westerly will be the most telling for those storms that form off Africa. It is a big enhancing influence on hurricanes when the winds are from the west. Perhaps one of the experts could give more insight on why this is the case? I just know that when you line it up with climatology, it is certainly a fact. |