Jav,

Here's what Joe has to say on this today:

"TROPICS: The gulf will have to be watched starting later this week and its unclear to me as to what can develop there. The point is the deep level convection is now showing itself in the southwest Caribbean and over northwest south America and its my theory the trof split will pull that toward the gulf in the next week to 10 days. The development of the new typhoon so far west in the Pacific would suggest that the areas to watch in the gulf are west, not east of 90, but eventually any enhanced gulf activity would come northeast next week."