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nothing in modeling going out on a limb, so of course this is doubtful.. but all that convection in the w. caribbean is being enhanced by divergence aloft. that stimulus should continue, and migrate northward.. once it gets out of the stronger low-level easterly flow it has a chance at getting a surface feature. that shouldn't happen before the weekend or later. some model hints at the energy phasing up the east coast, but nothing going crazy with it in terms of development. HF 2319z09june |