I'm a little surprised that nobody (except Cycloneye) picked up on this. Go back and look at the recon plan of the day. If TPC decides to send out an aircraft tomorrow afternoon, they will send it to 27N 94W - if development should continue, the second aircraft is heading for 28N 90W twelve hours later. That should give you a hint at the initial thinking regarding 'track' at NHC. The system would be moving east of the ULL and could even outpace the shortwave. It may not develop, but those coordinates should give some insight as to where NHC thinks the 'weather' will be going. Of course those coordinates will change if the system continues to evolve, but it suggests that I should adjust my thinking a little eastward

Cheers,
ED