NHC not really committing one way or the other, but I will bet they do send in the recon tomorrow.

SPECIAL FEATURES...
1011 MB LOW HAS FORMED AS OF 2100 UTC IN THE W GULF OF MEXICO
NEAR 23.5N92.5W MOVING NW ABOUT 10 KT. THIS LOW APPEARS TO HAVE
ORIGINATED MOSTLY FROM A MID/UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT HAS
BEEN WORKING ITS WAY DOWN INTO THE LOW LEVELS AND HAS NOW
REACHED THE SURFACE. THE LOW'S CIRCULATION IS BROAD WITH ANY
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION SHUNTED TO THE E DUE TO SHEAR. IN
ADDITION THE DEEP-LAYERED LOW IS VERTICALLY-STACKED WITH LOTS OF
DRY AIR ALOFT... NOT AN IDEAL CANDIDATE FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT.
HOWEVER A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS TO THE E OF THE LOW
UNDER A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND THE WHOLE SOUTHERN GULF
HAS POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. THE MOISTURE
FROM THIS SYSTEM IS HEADED TOWARD THE GULF COAST REGARDLESS OF
TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT AND HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY AFTER
THE WEEKEND. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF
25N BETWEEN 84W-92W WITH SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND W OF 83W N OF 19.5N IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

Looking much better this evening than earlier.

Cheers & Peace,

LI Phil