Well i have to say, i think i'm leaning more toward development now. It seems every needed ingredient is there, plenty warm SST's and light shear environment. Although the convection appears to be undergoing some shearing at this time, the tendency has been for it to decrease, and the forecast suggests a light shear environment for the next 48 hours, so that may give the system a chance to pull itself together. Only thing i did note, was the dry air showing up on the water vapor loop, anyone think this will play a part in development?