Looks like there will be a pretty significant rain event for some of us. I called early week that I though the main action would end up east of here. I still think that. But I'd bet lower Jefferson, St. Bernard and Lafourche will see some heavy totals. I'm just hoping to see a couple of squalls and a rainband or two and I'll be happy. I plan on picking up some ice and beer after I bring the kids to church tomorrow, so with any luck, I'll get to issue a couple of buzzed out reports from the front lines tomorrow night, Monday and maybe Tuesday.

Tough to say what New Orleans might see. We're potentially in the 5"+ range of possibility, but something just keeps tugging my mind east to Biloxi, Mobile and Pensacola. Bastardi, in his nightly update, is pretty convinced that it's coming in west of New Orleans. Maybe that's because he's going to be here Tuesday morning. Last time he was in town, we had a 1.5 hour 6" burst and he got to see some of the flooding first hand. He was all over that. You can imagine if he gets to ride out Alex or would-be Alex... He's convinced, named or not, there will be some torrential rains and tropical storm conditions NE of wherever the system goes in.

We'll see again tomorrow. I'm real interested in what happens in the daytime tomorrow with the pulsing of the system, and what kinds of storms it puts off.

The thing I like most about this system is it's been pretty pesky despite some of the negatives. I'll take another look at it later.

Steve