Perhaps this will be one of those years where we have very little happen for a long time, and then all of a sudden the tropics will explode into life. For example, in 1998 there was little until Alex formed in late July, and then once Bonnie formed on Aug. 19, 10 systems formed within 35 days.

Similiarly, in 1999 there was very little since Arlene formed in June, but then from the 18th of August 2 major hurricanes, one CAT 2 and a tropical storm formed within 6 days.

I know that we have yet to see a named storm this year, but perhaps this could be a scenario for later in the season.