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Just read and listened to JB's forecast...can't argue with him on much, for the most part his landfall predictions are similar to what Jason, Kevin, and I forecasted in our seasonal a month ago. Our highest risk US region is from MS to the Big Bend (likely 1 major)...then others such as TX, west FL, and NC all at lesser risks (weaker NS hits)...and then regions such as LA and east FL where we don't expect anything period. I can't say that I really agree with JB's high probability of a west FL major, but the western side of FL in general...more likely the Panhandle...at a greater risk I CAN agree with. It'll be interesting to see what happens. Regardless of precise landfall points, there's very little doubt we'll be on our toes a lot this season. |