According to Joe B, the fall to -46 in the SOI has to do with a front that blasted through Tahiti with wind gusts to 60mph and falling pressures. He said it was akin to a front reaching the Central Caribbean or Gulf of Tehuntapec. (Remember, it's winter in the southern hemisphere right now). Since last week, he has been anticipating a rise to positive teritory probably sometime late this week.

The main thing Joe's been harping on lately though is the Westpac and hints of a strong landfalling year again in the Atlantic. Some of you may recall the very far west tracks last year and far-west recurvatures. (It's funny how the the "Far East" can be the far west too.)

I don't see anything on the horizon. Today's Tropical Update showed the monsoon starting up in India again which should correlate to more waves exiting Africa and a return to neutral or postiive SOI.

Steve