James,

Actually, LI has had it's fair share of big 'uns (though nothing like Andrew, Camille, Labor Day Cane, Great Galveston,etc.), but pretty powerful none the less. Thing is, most canes to hit LI are Cat I-II (except for a few), but they are moving at an incredible forward speed (LI Express, for example, moving at 70MPH!!!), so those to the right of the eye really get whalloped. And except for Gloria, we really haven't seen anything bad for a long time...which totally lends itself to complacency. Unfortunately, the NY media hyped the S--- out of Isabel, and we got almost nada from that, so the next time one comes near, people will blow off the threat. Some of LI/NY's worst storms came before any of us were born.. 1815, 1825, 1841, 1893; others were a long time ago: 1938 (LI Express) 1944, 1954 (Carol), 1955 (Diane), 1960 (Donna). Statistically, we're more than due.

Here's a link to some LI canes. Hope you find it interesting.

LI Canes

Will have to go look at 95L. Joe B doesn't think anything will come of it for now, but if it can drift to the west carib...which the GFS is intimating...then it could possibly become Alex.

Cheers,

LI Phil