Luis,

You know that GFS stands for "Good For S---" don't you?

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evening mjo's arrival becomes very apparent and the system goes offline temporarily.. bummer
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HF,

2 solid posts, as always. Yeah, the site was down for like 13 hours yesterday, not sure why. Maybe Mike was trying something new out.

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And HF, loved the "latin" reference with the plural of the brothers Cornelius. It's been 20 years, but, I do believe that would be the "Brothers Cornelii".

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SC et. al.

'Twas Bertha, 1996. (actually formed early July, but I think that's the one you mean...)

(note..this should go in weather history)
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posts 15779 through 15785 AT LEAST are ALL abotu hurricane history NOt bringing on the weather... for instance..
Re: LI Express [Re: LI Phil]
#15785 - Tue Jul 06 2004 12:44 PM Edit Reply Quote Quick Reply

Thanks Phil, that really was interesting reading. That was one ferocious storm! Not exactly small either, at 500 miles wide. It must have been a truly terrifying storm to experience. We really are very lucky to live in an age of satellite technology and early warnings. It was lucky that the hurricane had weakened from CAT 5 status!

I take it that Gloria in '85 would have been the worst storm you experienced personally?

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then there is the ED PHONE HOME POSTS which weren't removed...
Glad ED is okay [Re: James88]
#15786 - Tue Jul 06 2004 12:50 PM Edit Reply Quote Quick Reply

I was beginning to worry because Phil was so concerned.

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then theres colleen, can someone give that girl her password...
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then from the Alex K person there are the anonymous NHC bashing posts on why they differ

Obviously the people who write the tropical weather outlook are not the same people who write the discussion.

From the outlook"UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE
BECOME MORE FAVORABLE"

From the discussion-"THE WAVE IS MOVING INTO AN INCREASINGLY HOSTILE
ENVIRONMENT IN ASSOCIATION WITH A STRONG SAHARAN AIR LAYER
OUTBREAK."

I wish that the official authority on this could coordinate what they are saying

.......The most recent Discussion was written by Jamie R. Rhome, who is with NOAA.

You can tell who issued what forecast, as their names appear at the end of the statements. I believe that even within the NHC, different forecasters can issue rather divergent forecasts based upon the same data...their "style" if you will.

I'm not certain if the NHC guys issue Discussions as well, or if that is entirely separate. Maybe one of our Mets can clear that up.

Cheers,

LI Phil
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back to mjo
Re: One more thing [Re: Old Sailor]
#15806 - Tue Jul 06 2004 04:06 PM Edit Reply Quote Quick Reply

Looks like the MJO factor is well and truly taking hold in the Atlantic basin. How long is this likely to last for?

Post Extras:

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You might want to take Collen's anon post off here too..us women seem to have problems staying ON topic..

This is Colleen....I have to post as "anonymous" because I can't remember my doggone password..ARGH!

Hope everyone had a safe and happy 4th of July! We enjoyed ours. We went to the Pepsi 400 in Daytona and got hammered by a severe storm. Ouch! Three guys got hit by lightning by the merchandise trailers, but they all lived to tell about it (how, I don't know) and were even able to go watch the race! Amazing! I guess a better question to ask would be why they were at the merchadise trailers in the first place with that kind of storm going on. It takes all kinds....which my 8-year noticed. As we were making our way into the racetrack, he noted the following:

"There sure are a lot of drunk people here, Mom! (pauses for a moment)....oh yeah, it's a race!! You're supposed to be drunk! DUH!"

Kids.....they don't miss a trick, eh?

Re: the wave/invest/tpc statement. I thought that there was a year that we had a CV storm early in June, am I insane? I'm sure it fizzled out but I do remember thinking at the time that it would be an active season, and I think it was either last year or the year before. I'm sure someone knows. I'm sure the TPC is "thinking" that this wave has a little potential but not much, but for them to mention it at all speaks for itself. As for marginal conditions...well, who knows what could happen. Maybe this will be a rogue storm. I don't remember Andrew being forecast to be a Cat4-5 or for it to hit south Florida, either. But he did, and the rest is history! Never underestimate Mother Nature. Just when she's got you down for your nap, she comes screaming back into the room to tell you it's time to get up!

It looks like we might see some nasty weather here in Polk County. It looks as though Hillsborough is taking a severe beating at the present moment.

Hope all is okay with Ed. I'm sure we'll hear soon.

Colleen

BUT SHE DIDNT MENTION NAKED WOMEN IN NEPAL WORRYING ABOUT THE MONSOONS BEING OVER A MONTH LATE AND RUINING THE RICE CROP THAT COULD BE DESTROY A REGIONS WHOLE ECONOMY ...

OH I AM SOOOO SORRY i WAS OFF TOPIC BY TALKING ABOUT THE LACK OF RAIN AND A LATE RAINY SEASON AND WAITING TO BRING ON THE WEATHER.

IF IT STARTS RAINING IN NEPAL... YOU OWE ME
AND NO IM NOT PLANNING ON DANCING IN THE RAIN (*#&@) FOR YOU iN MIAMI..
YOU'LL JUST HAVE TO FIGURE OUT HOW TO GET YOUR RAIN GODS TO BRING ON THE WEATHER WITHOUT MY HELP.