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Joe B. tropical update for Thursday implied that within the next week activity will increase. Interestingly he failed to even mention the Bermuda system, but he did focus on the wave at 40w which he called the first in a series. The european model ( of his preference) picked up on the wave now exiting Africa and developed it in about 7 days. The wave at 40 does have some rotation and little convection for now. It may have to be sacrificed to the shear machine in the E Carribean but could inaugerate the pressure changes necessary to lessen shear so the second system can go...at least that is the theorey. See ya! EDS. |