Ed,

Thanks for the new thread...

1953 may have been 14/6/4, with 6 U.S. landfalls, but (unless I'm reading the map wrong), only one was a CAT 1 at landfall. All others were TS or less. (Please correct me if I'm wrong). I guess that's good news, in that there was not a lot of destruction/deaths. I'd need to do some more research to truly form an opinion (i.e. 2001 Allison was "only" a TS, but she sure did put a world of hurt on Houston).

Other than 1953, do you see any other analogs? And do you think 95L has any kind of shot at development? Thanks.

Cheers,

LI Phil

95L - very little chance - it would probably take the system at least two days to organize - by then, the wind shear will settle the question.

1953:
Barbara - Cat II (90 knots) at landfall
Florence - Cat I (70 knots) at landfall

Other analogs are 1990 and 2003, but the pattern is poor for 1990 (although ENSO is good) and marginal for 2003. I think that 1953 is the best analog.
ED