Old Sailor,

Tend to agree, looked at wv loops, ir loops and vis loops and it is definitely moving west...perhaps wnw or even nnw, but west and over land...on it's way to the East Pac. Perhaps a piece of energy can split off and try to make it's way north, but there is simply too much shear even out to 72 hours. Unfortunately, no real chance for development with this one...and I was on top of this since yesterday and really thought it had a chance.

On another note, the big wave that exited Africa is forecast by the UKMET to reach the Islands by this weekend, so that's something to watch, if nothing else. Elsewhere there's just too much dry air and dust for anything to get going.

Oh well,

LI Phil