Hey Colleen,

That's about the only interesting thing this morning...the African wave train. Especially the absolute MONSTER poised to hit the Atlantic later today. Whole bunch of waves meandering across the pond, probably too far south to worry about...looks like the one just southeast of the Islands will bump into SA. Nada going on in the GOM, system in the West Carib heading west across Central America, though, as HF pointed out, is still, unexplicably, tenaciously hanging on.

One feature of possible interest this weekend is a possible "rogue" storm forming off the coast of NC and heading up the coast towards me. JB mentioned this and, to paraphrase, "as close to a tropical storm without being one" as one could ever see. He likened it to two previous events, one in August 2002 and one in August 1994. The '02 event saw 40-50 mph wind gusts and featured a warm core eye like feature. The '94 event was even worse: "a rouge storm pounded coastal southern New England and Long Island, sinking boats with wind gusts to 60 mph and 3-5 inches of rain." Unfortunately, other than this possibility, not really anything else going on anywhere

Hey Lonny, go back a few threads and read the extensive El Nino discussions. The basin will stay NEUTRAL for the season, even if an El Nino does develop, it will not occur in time to have an effect this year

Cheers,

LI Phil