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IWIC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - 15 July 2004 - 8:05 PM EDT

The only area worth noting this evening, is a tropical wave that pushed west into the eastern Atlantic earlier today. Upper level winds are favorable for development. However, a lot of dry air is still in place. The main parameter that is still inhibiting development is the Saharan Air Layer. None of the global models show any indication of future tropical development. But the GFS does clearly show the wave and associated surface low pressure moving westward toward the Lesser Antilles over the next six days. If the wave still appears to be fairly well-organized by 30-35W, then things may begin to get interesting.

Elsewhere, the tropics are quiet.