A lot of stuff rolling tonight. Hong Kong is getting hit by a 40k Tropical Storm (far west track, north of Taiwan). Watching the WPAC can occasionally yield clues about future events in the Atlantic. 99W is also up, and correspondingly, the Southern Oscillation Index has been slightly negative. That portends nothing extreme for the WPAC, but shows the energy in the area. In the EPAC, Blas is history and 91E is making up its mind. I don't see much out of it.

On our side, the Gulf continues to boil. If you go to the OTIS Model Actual SST's , you will see that the Gulf of Mexico has the hottest water temperatures of the basin. A closer look at the High-res SST's reveals that there is plenty of Upper 80 degree water off the LA, MS, AL, FL, West Cuban and Bahamian Coasts. It's interesting how close the hottest water is to land. If there happened to be anything threatening, there would have been some juice available near some of the potential landfall areas.

I'm liking the overall look of the GOES-12 IR tonight. There's a lot of color /Bobbi out there. The trof movnig into the SE, the interaction of the wave-entangled ULL with the leading edges of the trof, the wave moving by Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (saw a report by Cycloneye where he got some showers but the pressures stayed around 29.97-30.00 with the passage of the ECAR wave), and the new wave with the low pressure in the Eastern Atlantic. There's a lot of heat buildup and energy heading toward the SE Coast. A potential rogue storm blowing up off the Carolinas or VA coastal waters would have some energy to work with.

Steve