LI Phil
(User)
Fri Jul 16 2004 02:23 PM
Tropical Goings On...

Oh yeah...things are definitely afoot. As Steve H. pointed out, the wave at about 50W may need to be watched, but what I'm pumped for is the BIG wave crossing 30W. Looks even better than it did last night. And with the ridge building across the western atlantic...well...things could get mighty interesting. SOI is back negative again and the African wave train has probably only got one more pulse left (last one is over central africa now). So, while things may heat up in the short term, these few waves look to be our last hope for probably 3-4 weeks.

As Steve (the OTHER Steve) pointed out last night, the WestPAC typhoon is dumping tropical juice on Hong Kong...maybe teleconnecting, but probably not.

And JB's still keen on the rogue storm forming late Sunday night and bring tropic-like conditions (but the storm will NOT be of tropical origin) up my way Monday: "The call is to jump the center to just east of Norfolk Sunday at midnight, then take it up through Long Island. This raises the spectre of gales for a few hours on beaches from the Delmarva to New England as the storm comes northward, the chance that we will really see a show with the radar pics, and what people would have mistaken for a tropical storm 100 years ago. While this is not a lock, it is my current thinking."

So I may be in for a bit of mischief as I grudgingly return to the office Monday am.

We could be in for some action (I sure HOPE so...so quiet), 'cause it sure looks like the tropics will be shutting down for a while in a week or so.

Cheers,

LI Phil



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