That wave does look a little better than yesterday. It's hanging on to its convection more stubbornly than 95L did a short while back. Also, GFS still develops a closed low heading towards the Caribbean by next Thursday. Time will tell with this one - persistence is definately the key. I wouldn't be that surprised to see an invest sometime in the next couple of days. Fingers crossed with this wave.

It's currently encountering some slightly drier air and dust, but as others have said, there is more moist air out there now than there has been of late, so the system may have more of a chance than others recently. If this wave does develop, it seems that Alex will be doing just what he did 6 years ago.

Colleen, there does look to be a slight spin south of Cuba. There is plenty of moist air in the vicinity with warm SSTs.

Oh and Phil, if it happens, enjoy the action in LI this weekend/Monday!