Been looking at IR loops of the disturbance south of Cuba, and it's not all that impressive. Doesn't appear to have much circulation right now, and the cloud tops aren't particularly cold. The wave just off Nicaragua, which unfortunately is going inland, has a much better signature. The wave south of Hispaniola is just moseying along on it's merry way...nothing doing there.

I still think our best chances are to the east, with the wave near 50W/10N looking much healthier and the much aforementioned wave that came off Africa yesterday near 30W/10N. That's one's got Alex written all over it.

Cheers,

LI Phil

Steve H. I'll PM Mike for you on the password deal. He should be able to fix you up...