Just watched JBs tropical video...man is he jumping all over 97L. He thinks, with modeling to back it up, that the system is going to head north, over Hispaniola and into the Bahamas by the weekend. A ridge is building in near the Islands, allowing it to sneak through the Antilles towards DR/Haiti. A TUTT drops down, but it misses 97L, so it continues it's northwest trek all the way to the Bahamas. At that point, models show it stalling and strengthening, eventually taking aim at the EC.

He's very concerned for the areas from Miami all the way up to NE.

A second scenario keeps 97L on a more southerly track, which would eventually take it either across or just south of Fla and into the GOM. He's not as keen on that one, but it is of course a possibility.

In any event, he thinks this one will be the one and needs to be watched.

Hey bugs, I guess you figured out the "URL" thingy? That wave has TD potential too.

And of course, the GOM is still just waiting to explode.

Cheers,

LI Phil