Rabbit
(Weather Master)
Mon Jul 19 2004 02:26 PM
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
215 PM EDT MON JUL 19 2004

SQUALLS ON THE LEADING EDGE OF A TROPICAL WAVE ARE APPROACHING THE
SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS. AS THESE SQUALLS MOVE THROUGH THE
ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING THEY WILL LIKELY BE ACCOMPANIED
BY BRIEFLY HEAVY RAINS AND WIND GUSTS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE.
THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

take a look at this

what i thought yesterday was a weak wave with an outflow boundary appears now to be a developing tropical depression
what i thought was an outflow boundary is actually a strong rain band trying to block the center from the shear