Some one mentioned this erlier. The wave appeers to be splitting a piece continuing west and the bulk of the convection heading NW. Also that is what joe bastardi was alluding today. He does not think it will develop until the weekend he said a pattern is setting up in wich a very short trough will come down and it will get trapped between the trough and the ridge in or just east of the bahamas. His pattern recognitions sais that area is where it will head becuse of the trough position and a high pressure will be in place for excellent ventilation.