Afternoon all. Can't add anything that hasn't already been said. Rob, awesome post! You covered it all and then some.

It would appear the "southerly" (GOM) solution to 97L's future movement is probably the more likely of the two, and it probably portends best for development. If this wave can get into the bathwater that is the Gulf, it could really 'splode!

I will however, take the more northerly solution for now. This entails the risky proposition of getting across Hispaniola, so any LLC that may have developed at that time will be bye-bye. Then through the Bahama's and finally getting sucked up by the predicted trof and taken up the East Coast.

Whether we will ever see Alex out of this, who knows. Probably more likely if the wave takes the southerly track the tropical models are calling for.

In any event, nothing is happening development-wise for at least 24 hours, and maybe more. Dvorak #'s still "too weak."

Cheers,

LI Phil