ABNT20 KNHC 210907
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS/TPC NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT WED JUL 21 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH. OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS...THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE HAVE INCREASED JUST
TO THE SOUTH OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. ALTHOUGH THERE IS NO
EVIDENCE OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME AND UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. EVEN IF DEVELOPMENT
DOES NOT OCCUR...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH
$$