My review of the latest satellite pics confirms to me that this system has survived the shear from the sw and will move in the next 6 hrs away from that, putting it behind so to speak, and it has the look of a developing system. Tthe morning pictures show the effect of the shear as it has flattened and elongated the system and actually according to Dvorak slightly lessened the convection, but the shear will be south and east of it soon...Better outflow north and northeast, consistent movement south of the island so it will not encounter any land friction for the next day or so.

good possibility. EDS.