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TWO released a little early, and they did have issues "Thunderstorm activity with the tropical wave south of Haiti has changed little in organization this afternoon...and there is no evidence of a closed surface circulation. Upper-level winds have become somewhat more favorable...and there is the potential for slow development during the next day or so. Even if this system does not develop into a tropical cyclone...locally heavy rains will affect portions of Hispaniola tonight and likely reach Jamaica on Thursday as the wave moves west-northwestward at about 20 mph. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides in mountainous areas. The reconnaissance aricraft scheduled for this afternoon was cancelled due to mechanical problems. Another aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Thursday morning...if necessary. Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through Thursday." |