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Some convection is moving into the Yucatan strait (probably left over from the old LLC that emerged out on Tuesday). Some convection is just across 80W (probably left over from the old MLC). Most of the energy seems to have been usurped by the Surface Trof off the SE Coast. The rest of it isn't much. It's too bad because the way the setup in the Gulf is right now, there's a clear path for a tropical surge right at Louisiana. With an ULL diving SW through East Texas, the feed is around the eastern perimeter. I wouldn't be shocked to see some wave-spawned convection here Friday night or Saturday. As always, I'll take what I can get. Had 97L become established, the Gulf was wide open for development. Except when under an Upper High, the Gulf rarely is this condusive for development in July. /Oh what might have been... As Phil noted above, 97L and the dry air it was entering battled to a draw. Both lost out. There isn't much on the horizon for the next week to ten days. There are two very inocuous waves (one at 62W and the other around 45W). But that's it. Africa is still rolling along as is the Indian Monsoon. So far, nothing much has come out of it. However, the Atlantic Basin continues on with its climatological progression toward the Cape Verde season. NOAA says that in many respects, the basin is actually ahead of schedule. I guess we'll see. Steve |