Quote:
As Phil noted above, 97L and the dry air it was entering battled to a draw. Both lost out. There isn't much on the horizon for the next week to ten days. There are two very inocuous waves (one at 62W and the other around 45W). But that's it. Africa is still rolling along as is the Indian Monsoon. So far, nothing much has come out of it. However, the Atlantic Basin continues on with its climatological progression toward the Cape Verde season. NOAA says that in many respects, the basin is actually ahead of schedule. I guess we'll see.
Sure is. Almost all of the known parameters except SAL/subsidence are more favorable than they would normally be at this time of the year...and the SAL/subsidence issue is completely normal. Once that moderates as we typically do moving into August...there will be virtually nothing to stop us from having an active year, particularly in the deep tropical Atlantic.
Another thing to possibly consider...remember, a tropical system's role is to transfer latent heat from the deep tropics further north. We haven't seen any this year in the Atlantic basin. Therefore, pretty much ALL of the latent heat remains in the deep tropics. How this will affect the strength of the first couple of storms and season has yet to be seen...may be a subject worth doing climatological research on.
|
Re: Requiem on 97L