Agree with Phil it is a good title for this new thread.But now a new area to watch has surfaced as the NHC points out:
000
ABNT20 KNHC 222116
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS/TPC NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED
ALONG AN OLD FRONTAL SYSTEM ABOUT 400 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS. THIS SYSTEM CURRENTLY DOES NOT HAVE TROPICAL
CYCLONE CHARACTERISTICS...BUT WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT.

I think that Hank Frank talked briefly about something to watch in the subtropical atlantic so let's see what happens.

The real season starts in august and because there has been no storms yet it doesn't mean anything that may suggest a below average season as in past posts Rob and Jason haved broughted the stats of past seasons that started late and finshed active.

My new guess for Alex to form is august 11 my birthday date.