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Still not much going on, but the TWO has something to say:- A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 175 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. ONLY LIMITED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER...SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AS THE SYSTEM GRADUALLY TURNS NORTHWARD AND MOVES INTO A REGION OF SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. HOWEVER...BY MONDAY THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD OVER MUCH COLDER WATER AND BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. So there is some potential, but I'm not completely convinced. There looks to be a decent flare up north of Puerto Rico this morning, but it doesn't have a mention in the Outlook. Also, the wave in the central Atlantic is looking quite good this morning. It will have to gain some latitiude though, otherwise all it will do is provide some rain for Venezuela in a few days. So, still quiet, but if the GFS run materialises we could be in for some very interesting days ahead. |