Noticed that the GFS seems a little less aggressive in its prediction of a tropical system in a few days. Still, as others have said, the models are quite unreliable with their long range forecasts. That's not to say nothing will happen, though. Nogaps, AVN, UKMET and CMC still want to bring an area of low pressure of the African coast in the near future, but then they all lose the system later in the period

. I really hope something does develop - it's been 7 1/2 months since the last Atlantic system. If we don't have a named storm by August 4th, that will be the first time since 1992. Oh well, time is ticking away, and we are slowly approaching the busy time.