I think if El Nino forms it shouldnt have a big effect on the season. We are in late July... one or two good mjo's phases with the waves we have going and we should have an atlantic hurricane season..

yes, 1997 came on like gangbusters but really is pretty rare and believe that was referred to as the El Nino of all El Ninos so .. doubt it will effect the season which is coming up fast.

I mean height of the season is less than 2 months away, would have to be a bigger one that 97 to have that sort of effect..

dont you think?
closer to December... late November, thats my guess

something isnt being figured into this if you ask me, missing some factor here i think

as they say hindsight is 20/20

but its way too quiet
bobbi