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It's a watch and see game Doug. Usually those things move off to the W, WSW or SW at this time of year. But who really knows? I don't have a bookmark of the ENSO model outputs at work, but almost all of them have backed off in the July report (both 3 month and 8 month ranges) from warm to remaining neutral. SST's in the basin are warming off the NE coast as per the last couple of years. If it remains look for some New England/Canada activity down the line. If it gets beat down, don't look for as much. It's a watch day. Steve |