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Things to watch from this morning's Global model runs: AVN Loop 06Z - Puts a low pressure on the Gulf side of Florida and moves it in similar to an inverted trof into LA/MS/AL as the Bermuda High retrogrades into the coast. It also is pretty strong on the Central Atlantic after 5 days. CMC 00Z - Develops perhaps a depression and moves it into South Carolina while dropping an upper impulse down SW through the Gulf and into the BOC. Navy NOGAPS 00Z - Develops a low in the Eastern Gulf and brings it in between New Orleans and Pensacola. UK Met 00Z - Moves an impulse up to the coast of the Carolinas and a fairly substantial wave across the Northern Gulf into Texas at the end of the run period. European/ECMWF - Likes a similar solution to the UK Met with a piece heading off to the Mid Atlantic and disturbed weather in the Gulf heading off toward Texas. All in all, there doesn't seem to be anything major afoot. But it wouldn't be impossible to have a couple of invests up by Saturday. Steve |