Rich B
(British Meteorologist)
Thu Jul 29 2004 10:33 AM
Re: Potential?

Well will we get to August 1st without a named system? Quite possibly. But will we get to August 1st without a classified system? Well that is a whole different question!

The first possible system is the one that has tracked slowly from the Bahamas and is now over the Florida Peninsula, heading slowly towards the eastern Gulf. This is a poorly organised system, with only marginal upper-level support at this time. Its proximity to land could also inhibit any significant development, at least for the next 24 hours.

The second area, and the one with higher possibilities, is the area of disturbed weather east of the Bahamas. This region has seen disturbed weather persisting for days now. As the TWO states, and recent satellite imagery shows, this area is becoming a little better organised. Again, upper-level conditions arent that great, but are slowly improving. Tie the slowly improving upper level conditions with the corresponding organisation, and it looks like we could see something develop from this, possibly even before 1st August.



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