MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Thu Jul 29 2004 04:57 PM
Two Areas Both Near the US that May Need Watching

There are two systems that may develop before or more likely during the weekend. One is a low still east of the Bahamas, that right now, is heading generally west northwest, and another just west of the Florida keys that still is heading generally west in the Gulf.

Both systems have potential for development




Development Potential scale for System East of Bahamas (aka 99L)
Code:

forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)
[----------------*-----]


West of Florida Keys (aka 90L)
Code:

forget it) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (sure thing)
[---------*------------]



Yes the tropics are now heating up. Both of these systems need to be watched. Since they have not developed into depressions or named storms yet, we'll have to rely on persistence to keep track. They are both are in very interesting positions and both do have the potential to impact land in some way down the road, but this is much too early to call as to what form or strength now. Right now, I don't expect too much from either.

Site Note: Popups now fixed for Safari, Mozilla Firefox, etc browser users. As well and National Weather Service Area Forecast Discussions that may reference either storm of interest now are listed at the top.

General Links
Current Aircraft Recon Info

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.

Follow worldwide SST evolution here:

Global SST Animation

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
AVN, CMC, GFDL, JMA, NOGAPS, UKMET

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)

Multi-model plots from WREL

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Tropical Weather Center, Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,
Even more on the links page.



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center