LI Phil
(User)
Thu Jul 29 2004 08:55 PM
JB Afternoon Update

Will try to be brief and paraphrase. JB's very concerned with 90L. Although there is "no objective guidance" for this scenario, he is worried that we are looking at something that if it gets to 45 mph, it could get to 115 in the same amount of time it took it to go from what it is now to a 45-mph storm. He's not calling for this to happen, just throwing it out there. This is due to the fact that the water there is 2 degrees celsius above normal which could speed development. He stresses there is no need for panic.

He's less gung ho on 99L. His take on this on is that it looks more like an elliptical hybrid that will run out of time to pull in strong winds, but can still be a pain in the neck, and if the Gulf potential wasn't there, would obviously be a bigger story.

Very interesting indeed...



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