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Have to be brief. This morning JB is still sticking with yesterday afternoon's thoughts, with some embellishment. Feels 99L will get to TS status and landfall somewhere near the SC/NC border Sunday. He is also bullish on 90L with one caveat. He likens the two disturbances to two bullies on a playground and you can only have one bully on a playground. Therefore, he feels 99L will continue to develop at the expense of 90L for the time being. Once 99L landfalls and loses energy, 90L will start to crank. The caveat is that until such time, 90L is in the dogfight of its life to survive. For this, he uses the analogy of pushing a boulder up a hill. Very difficult to do, but if it does happen, then it will rapidly descend the hill once the apex is reached. In other words, if 90L can make it up the hill, watch out once it gets to the top. He still worries about Texas as the final destination. Several models back up both scenarios but I won't get into that now. Well, that wasn't very brief, was it? Talk to y'all later. Morning, LI Phil |