Now we're starting to cook.

ABNT20 KNHC 311504
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS/TPC NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SAT JUL 31 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE
FLORIDA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...
REPORTS AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT SHOW THE
SYSTEM DOES NOT YET HAVE A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CIRCULATION. THE
AIRCRAFT DID REPORT 25 TO 30 MPH SURFACE WINDS TO THE EAST OF THE
LOW. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT AS THE SYSTEM
MOVED NORTHWESTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH. INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS.

THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
REMAINS DISORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
SCHEDULED FOR THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ANY DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS BECOME A LITTLE
BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY.

FORECASTER BEVEN