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10:30 TWO A TROPICAL WAVE CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH. SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. could this be Alex before the TD? a little note: since the TD has not become Alex at 11 and this is the last advisory of any kind for the month, my forecast will stay the same (I was kind of hoping I would have to update it) Looks to be a year like 2000. One of these systems (TD1 or the Atlantic wave) may become Alex. 2000 had Alberto in the first week of August, and I am forecasting a similar year in numbers. |